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Weekly-market: A weak week: Indices down over 3%
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Saturday, January 29, 2011 |
| Market Commentary | | A weak week: Indices down over 3% | The Indian indices were knocked down this week owing to rising inflation worries, rollover pressures, foreign money outflow leading indices to register over 3% weekly loss |
Major news for the week: - RBI hikes repo, reverse repo rates by 25 basis points
- Food inflation inches up to 15.57%
- ICICI Bank Q3 net profit soars 30.5% yoy
- ONGC Q3 net profit up 132%
- HUL Q3 net profit down 2% to Rs638 crore
Indian indices Indian markets were under a bear grip in this truncated week, posting losses in three out of four sessions. Though Reserve Bank of India (RBI)?s credit policy outcome came as per market expectations, it did not turn out to be good for markets. Rising inflation concerns and likely slow down in economic growth spooked sentiments. Markets were further hammered on the F&O expiry day owing to rollover pressures. Extreme volatility was witnessed this week. The main indices are now below their 200-day moving averages, a key indicator of support levels. The investors were rattled by fears of persistent foreign institutional investor (FII) outflows amid macro-economic headwinds. Selling activity took the lead this week as investors and traders feared that the markets will correct further. The RBI raised repo rate and reverse repo rate by 25 basis points to 6.25% and to 5.5% respectively while the CRR was left unchanged. The GDP growth forecast has been retained at 8.5% with upward bias while WPI inflation forecast has been raised from 5.5% to 7% for FY11. Food inflation rose to 15.57% for the week ended January 15, 2011 as compared to 15.52% seen in the previous week. This hinted at a further rate hikes, which led to a tremendous sell-off in rate sensitive sectors this week and stood among the major losers. During the week, the Sensex slipped below 18500 mark and the Nifty below 5600 levels. On its way, the Nifty broke 5500-mark for the first time since September 06, 2010, however managed to close the week above that level. The Sensex swung 1105 points and the Nifty 342 points during the week. To close the week, the Sensex settled at 18396, lower by 612 points and Nifty shut at 5512, down by 184 points. Global indices On the global front, last week?s worst performer China?s Shanghai Composite was this week?s top gainer, up by 1.37%. Other gainers were Japan?s Nikkei and Germany?s DAX 100, which gained by 0.84% and 0.57% respectively. On the other hand, the Sensex was the biggest loser this week, down by 3.22%. Rest of the major indices ended the week in the negative territory. Sectoral and stock screening Selling was witnessed across the board and none of the sectors managed to stay positive. BSE Realty was the worst performer of the week losing by 8.62%, followed by BSE Health Care (HC) and BSE Auto down by 5.48% and 5.02% respectively. Rest of the sectoral indices ended the week lower in the range of 1.77-3.93%. | Looking into ?A? group stocks, star performer of the week was Motherson Sumi Systems gaining by 7.05%, followed by Bharat Petroleum Corporation up by 6.78% and Aditya Birla Nuvo surged by 2.94%. On the flip side, IVRCL Infrastructure was the major loser of the week, down by 15.34%, followed by TVS Motors and Lanco Infratech down by 13.54% and 12.94% respectively. FII/MF activity The FIIs continued to withdraw funds and sold Indian shares worth a net of Rs736 crore this week. The local investors turned sellers this week and sold Indian stocks worth a net of Rs96 crore. | TOP MOVERS (GROUP A) |  | | | | | Motherson Sumi | 182.20 | 7.05 | | | Aditya Birla Nuvo | 757.50 | 2.94 | | | | | Lanco Infratech | 47.10 | -12.94 | | | | | | FII/MF ACTIVITIES |  | | | | Gross purchase | 12,471 | 1,926 | | | | | | | | | | *As on January 27, 2011 | | | Outlook Next week markets will look for earnings of top Indian firm like Sun Pharmaceuticals, Bharat Petroleum Corporation, ACC, Suzlon Energy and Bharti Airtel. Auto companies will declare their monthly sales numbers and cement firms will announce dispatches figures; this will keep the respective shares in focus. Export and import data along with the HSBC Manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index data will be out. FIIs' recent exit from the Indian equities may impact the markets along with changes across the world. | | | To know more about our products and services, click here. | | Sharekhan Ltd., Regd Add: 10th Floor, Beta Building, Lodha iThink Techno Campus, Off. JVLR, Opp. Kanjurmarg Railway Station, Kanjurmarg (East), Mumbai ? 400 042, Maharashtra. Tel: 022 - 61150000. BSE Cash-INB011073351; F&O-INF011073351; NSE ? INB/INF231073330; CD - INE231073330; MCX Stock Exchange : CD - INE261073330 DP: NSDL-IN-DP-NSDL-233-2003; CDSL-IN-DP-CDSL-271-2004; PMS INP000000662; Mutual Fund: ARN 20669. | | | ?This document has been prepared by Sharekhan Ltd. This Document is subject to changes without prior notice and is intended only for the person or entity to which it is addressed to and may contain confidential and/or privileged material and is not for any type of circulation. Any review, retransmission, or any other use is prohibited. 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