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Weekly-market: Sensex, Nifty remain virtually unchanged for the Week

Saturday, April 19, 2014

 Sharekhan's weekly newsletter Visit us at www.sharekhan.com
 
April 19, 2014

 Market Commentary 

Sensex, Nifty remain virtually unchanged for the Week

Indices closed little changed in a holiday shortened week on back of FII selling. The Nifty rose 0.04% for the week ended April 17, 2014 


Major Headlines for the week:

Indian indices:

Welcome to the 'Weekly Market Wrap' for April 19, 2014 where Indian benchmark indices ended almost unchanged in a truncated trading week ended Thursday, April 17, 2014. The barometer index, the S&P BSE Sensex logged marginal declines while the 50-unit CNX Nifty settled a tad higher. The market declined in two out of three trading sessions in the week just gone by.

The 30-share S&P BSE Sensex fell 0.12 points to 22,628.84. The 50-unit CNX Nifty rose 3.10 points or 0.04% to 6,779.40. 

The S&P BSE Mid-Cap index rose 0.83 points or 0.01% to 7,339.29 and the S&P BSE Small-Cap index gained 0.83 points or 0.01% to 7,524.01. Both these indices outperformed the Sensex. 

Weekly market trend from April 14, 2014 - April 18, 2014:

April 14- The equity markets remained shut on Monday on account of Dr. Baba Saheb Ambedkar Jayanti.

April 15- Markets fell for a second consecutive session on Tuesday, marking its biggest fall since March 3, as interest-rate sensitive shares such as HDFC fell after WPI accelerated much more than expected. The BSE Sensex and NSE Nifty slipped 0.64%. The decline in the markets was due to weakness in financial shares, as the spike in whole-sale-price (WPI) inflation to 3-month highs in March could lead to a delay in policy rate cuts by the central bank in the near to medium term. The Sensex closed at 22484.98, down by 144.03 points, while the Nifty fell 43.20 point to close at 6733.10.

April 16- Indian shares fell on Wednesday to mark their lowest close in 2-1/2 weeks as software stocks slumped on caution ahead of India's top IT services provider Tata Consultancy Services' quarterly results later in the day. The BSE Sensex slipped 0.92% and NSE Nifty fell 0.90%. The Sensex closed at 22277.23, down by 207.70 points, while the Nifty fell 60.55 points to close at 6672.55

April 17- Indian shares rose over 1.5% on Thursday to snap a three-day losing streak as lenders such as ICICI Bank Ltd surged on value buying and hopes of gains on bond portfolios after the central bank's biggest debt auction. The BSE Sensex gained 1.58% and NSE Nifty rose 1.56%. The Sensex closed at 22628.84, up by 351.61 points, while the Nifty rose 104.10 points to close at 6779.40.

April 18- The markets also remained shut on Friday on account of Good Friday.

Global indices:
Gainers-
Nikkei up 3.98%, Nasdaq up 2.39% and Dow Jones up 2.38%. Losers- Shanghai Composite down 1.54%, CAC 40 down 1.51% and DAX 100 down 1.01%.

Sectoral and stock screening:
Among the 13 sectoral indices eight sectors closed in the red zone while others ended in green. Top Gainers - S&P BSE FMCG surged 2.20%, followed by S&P BSE IT which rose 0.82%, S&P BSE Oil&Gas up 0.68%. Top Losers - S&P BSE Realty down 4 .14%, S&P BSE CD fell 1.62% and S&P BSE CG slipped 1.07%.

Looking at the 'A' group stocks, the top three gainers of the week were - Future Retail up by 25.90%, Crompton Greaveas rose 24.75% and Pipavav Defence up by 18.11%. Top three losers of the week were - M&M FinServ which fell by 6.86%, DLF slipped by 6.69% and Bank of India dipped by 5.04%.

FII/MF activity
The foreign institutional investors (FIIs) have been the net sellers of the Indian stocks to the tune of Rs154.90 crore as on April 16, 2014 and the domestic investors sold Indian shares worth a net of Rs197.70 crore as on April 07, 2014.

TOP MOVERS (GROUP A) 
Company Price (Rs) % chg
Gainers
Future Retail

107.20

25.90

Crompton Greaves

188.85

24.75

Pipavav Defence

44.35

18.11

Losers
MNM Financial Services

230.70

-6.89

DLF

159.60

-6.69

Bank of India

219.60

-5.04

 
 FII/MF ACTIVITIES

Rs (cr)

FII*

MF**

Gross purchase 6,692 667
Gross sale

6,847

865

Net investment

-155

-198

*Data as on April 16, 2014
**Data as on April 07, 2014

Market Outlook for the coming week! 
In the coming week, the next batch of Q4 and year ended 31 March 2014 (FY 2014) results will dictate near term trend on the bourses. The market may remain volatile next week as traders roll over positions in the futures & options (F&O) segment from the near month April 2014 series to May 2014 series. Macroeconomic data, trend in investment by foreign institutional investors, trend in global markets, trend in other global emerging markets, the movement of rupee against the dollar and crude oil price movement hold key.

The near month April 2014 F&O contracts expire on Wednesday, April 23, 2014.

The stock market remains closed on Thursday, April 24, 2014, on account of Parliamentary elections in Mumbai constituency.

A major near term trigger for the stock market is the outcome of the upcoming Lok Sabha elections. The 36 days long voting process began on 7 April 2014 and will conclude on 12 May 2014. The results will be declared on 16 May 2014 after which India will get a new government. The term of the current Lok Sabha expires on 1 June and the new House has to be constituted by 31 May.

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