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Weekly Market: Macros lift sentiments; Markets up over 2% for the Week

Saturday, September 19, 2015

 Sharekhan's weekly newsletter Visit us at www.sharekhan.com
 
September 19, 2015

 Market Commentary 

Macros lift sentiments; Markets up over 2% for the Week

Indian markets wrapped up the week ended September 18, 2015 in the green zone led by improvement in key macro data. The Sensex and the Nifty rose 2.37%-2.47% each.


Major Headlines for the week:

Indian indices:
Welcome to the 'Weekly Market Wrap' for Friday, September 18, 2015, where Indian benchmark indices gained in a truncated trading week as the recent data showing pick up in industrial production growth and easing inflation raised bets for a cut in interest rates by the Reserve Bank of India in upcoming policy meet later this month.

The US central bank, the Federal Reserve holding rates steady after a two-day monetary policy meeting on 17 September 2015 also boosted the sentiments. The barometer index, the S&P BSE Sensex regained psychological 26,000 mark.

The BSE Mid-Cap index rose 1.19%. The BSE Small-Cap index gained 0.98%. Both these indices underperformed the Sensex. 

The S&P BSE Sensex rose 608.70 points or 2.37% to settle at 26,218.91. The gains in CNX Nifty were higher than Sensex's rise in percentage terms. The CNX Nifty gained 192.60 points or 2.47% to settle at 7,981.90. 

 

Weekly market trend from September 14 - September 18, 2015
September 14-
Trading for the week started on a strong note. Key benchmark indices edged higher on Monday, as the macroeconomic data showed pick up in industrial production growth, a benign current account deficit and wholesale prices continuing to remain in negative zone. The Sensex jumped 246.49 points or 0.96% to settle at 25,856.70, its highest closing level since 31 August 2015.
September 15- Modest losses were recorded on the domestic bourses on Tuesday, as weakness in Asian stocks weighed on sentiment and as investors turned cautious ahead of a US Federal Reserve meeting. The Sensex fell 150.77 points or 0.58% to settle at 25,705.93, its lowest closing level since 11 September 2015. 
September 16- Positive lead from global markets aided decent gains for key equity benchmark indices on Wednesday. The Sensex rose 258.04 points or 1% to settle at 25,963.97, its highest closing level since 31 August 2015. 
September 17- The stock market remained closed on Thursday, 17 September 2015, on account of Ganesh Chaturthi. 
September 18- Key benchmark indices edged higher in choppy trade on Friday, after the US central bank held rates steady at the end of the two-day monetary policy meeting on 17 September 2015. The Sensex rose 254.94 points or 0.98% to settle at 26,218.91, its highest closing level since 31 August 2015. 

Global indices:
Global indices ended in the red zone except Hang Seng and Nasdaq which rose 1.94% and 0.10% each. Top losers: Shanghai Composite down 3.20%, Dax100 down 2.05% and Nikkei down 1.06%.

Sectoral and stock screening:
Among 13 Sectoral Indices Top Gainers were S&P BSE PSU which was up by 2.94%, S&P BSE Power up 2.80% and S&P BSE Bankex up 2.32%: Top Losers: S&P BSE CD down 3.10%, S&P BSE CG down 2.22% and S&P BSE Auto down 0.86%

Looking at the 'A' group stocks, the top three gainers of the week were: Manappuram Finance up 16.51%, Just Dial up 14.38% and Balrampur Chini Mills up 12.88%

Top three losers of the week were: Sunrise Asian down 18.42%, SKS Microfinance down 16.50% and Rajesh Exports down 12.19% 

FII/MF activity:
The foreign institutional investors (FIIs) have been the net buyers of the Indian stocks to the tune of Rs3045.72 crore as on September 16, 2015 and the domestic investors bought Indian shares worth a net of Rs371.30 crore as on September 14, 2015.


TOP MOVERS (GROUP A) 
Company Price (Rs) % chg
Gainers
Manapurram Finance

25.05

16.51

Just Dial

933.75

14.38

Balrampur Chini Mills

50.40

12.88

Losers
Sunrise Asian

114.70

-18.42

SKS Microfinance

380.65

-16.50

Rajesh Exports

405.45

-12.19

 
 FII/MF ACTIVITIES

Rs (cr)

FII*

MF**

Gross purchase 13,395 696
Gross sale

10,349

325

Net investment

3046

371

*As on Sept 16, 2015 
**As on Sept 14, 2015

Market Outlook for the coming week! 
In the coming week, the macroeconomic data, trend in global markets, investment by foreign portfolio investors (FPIs), the movement of rupee against the dollar and crude oil price movement will dictate trend on the bourses in the coming week. 

The market may remain volatile as traders roll over positions in the futures & options (F&O) segment from the near month September 2015 series to October 2015 series. The near month September 2015 derivatives contracts expire on Thursday, 24 September 2015. 

Among global news, Federal Reserve Chairwoman Janet Yellen will speak at the University of Massachusetts, Amherst on Thursday, 24 September 2015. The data on new home sales in US, measuring the number of newly constructed homes with a committed sale during August month will be out on 24 September 2015. Final second quarter US GDP data will be unveiled on Friday, 25 September 2015.

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