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Weekly Report: Sharekhan Market Commentary

Friday, November 27, 2015

 Sharekhan's weekly newsletter Visit us at www.sharekhan.com
 
November 27, 2015

 Market Commentary 

Indices register 1% gain for the Week ahead of RBI policy

The Indian markets closed with marginal gains and remained in a narrow range in a holiday shortened week. The Sensex rose 1% and the Nifty was up by 1.57% for the week ended Nov 27, 2015.


Major Headlines for the week:

Indian indices:
Welcome to the 'Weekly Market Wrap' for Friday, November 27, 2015, Indian market rose last week on expectations that the constitutional amendment bill on goods and services tax (GST) will be passed during the winter session of parliament. In this week market was volatile as the November 2015 contracts expired in the futures & options (F&O) segment on Thursday, November 26, 2015. The Sensex settled above the psychological 26,000 mark. The Sensex and the Nifty, both, settled at their highest level in three weeks. 

Broad market depicted strength. The BSE Mid-Cap index rose 126.16 points or 1.16% to settle at 10,984.57. The BSE Small-Cap index rose 178.13 points or 1.57% to settle at 11,545.84. Both these indices outperformed the Sensex.

The Sensex rose 259.71 points or 1% to settle at 26,128.20, its highest closing level since 6 November 2015. The Nifty rose 86.15 points or 1.10% to settle at 7,942.70, its highest closing level since 6 November 2015.

 

Weekly market trend from November 23 - November 27, 2015.

Nov 23:
Indian stocks edged lower on Monday, swinging between minor gains and losses for most of the session as sentiment turned cautious ahead of the expiry of derivative contracts in a holiday-shortened week. The S&P BSE Sensex and CNX Nifty ended 0.19% and 0.09% lower each.

Nov 24: Indian stocks fell for a second straight session on Tuesday, weighed down by weak European markets and as investors churned positions ahead of the expiry of derivatives contracts this week. The S&P BSE Sensex and CNX Nifty ended 0.17% and 0.22% lower each.

Nov 25: Market was closed on account of Guru Nanak Jayanti.

Nov 26: Indian shares rose on Thursday, snapping a two-session losing streak, helped by auto and energy stocks while hopes parliament would consider a key reform on a goods and services tax also boosted sentiment. The S&P BSE Sensex and CNX Nifty ended 0.71% and 0.67% higher each.

Nov 27: Indian shares edged up on Friday, recording a second straight week of gains, as hopes the government would look for a compromise with opposition leaders to pass a key reform on goods and services tax (GST) lifted sentiment. The S&P BSE Sensex and CNX Nifty ended 0.65% and 0.75% higher each. 


Global indices:

Topmost Gainers of the week were: Dax 100 up 1.81%, FTSE 100 up 0.92% and CAC 40 up 0.71%. Topmost Losers of the week were: Shanghai Composite down 5.35%, Hang Seng down 3.02% and Dow Jones down 0.06%.

Sectoral and stock screening:
Majority of the Sector ended in green, barring S&P BSE HC fell by 0.51% and S&P BSE FMCG fell by 0.33%. Topmost gainers were: S&P BSE Realty rose by 4.37%, S&P BSE Bankex rose by 1.99% and S&P BSE Oil & Gas rose by 1.81%.


Looking at the 'A' group stocks, the top three gainers of the week were: MRPL up 20.19%, Gati up 16.43% and Welspun Corp up 14.32%.

Top three losers of the week were: United Spirits down 11.65%, Emami down 8.59% and UPL down 8.01%.

FII/MF activity:
The foreign institutional investors (FIIs) have been the net sellers of the Indian stocks to the tune of Rs27.53 crore as on November 23, 2015 and the domestic investors bought Indian shares worth a net of Rs144.10 crore as on November 23, 2015.


TOP MOVERS (GROUP A) 
Company Price (Rs) % chg
Gainers
MRPL

67.85

20.19

GATI

169.75

16.43

Welspun Corp

107.80

14.32

Losers
United Spirits

3,171.30

-11.65

Emami

916.00

-8.59

UPL

421.30

-8.01

 
 FII/MF ACTIVITIES

Rs (cr)

FII

MF

Gross purchase 3,142.62 881.20
Gross sale

3,170.15

737.10

Net investment

-27.53

144.10

Data as on November 23, 2015

Market Outlook for the coming week! 
The Reserve Bank of India (RBI) will announce its fifth bi-monthly monetary policy decision at 11:00 IST on Tuesday, December 01, 2015.

In macroeconomic data, the government will release India's gross domestic product (GDP) data for Q2 September 2015 on Monday, November 30, 2015.

The Nikkei India Manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) data for the month of November 2015 is due on Tuesday, December 01, 2015.

The Nikkei India Service PMI data for the month of November 2015 is due on Thursday, December 03, 2015. 

Shares of automobile companies will be in focus as companies start announcing monthly sales volume data for November 2015 from Tuesday, December 01, 2015. 

Shares of public sector oil marketing companies (PSU OMCs) will be in focus as a regular fuel price review is due at the month end. PSU OMCs review fuel prices twice a month based on the trend in international oil market and currency movement. The first review takes place during the middle of the month and the last review at the month-end. PSU OMCs also review jet fuel prices on the last day of the month. 

Shares of aviation firms will be in focus as a regular jet fuel price review is due at the month end. PSU OMCs revise jet fuel prices on the last day of the month based on the average imported oil price in the preceding fortnight. Prices of ATF constitutes approximately 50% of operating expenses of Indian airlines.

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